Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.558232 0.704317 0.861265 1.040524 1.237851 1.446903 1.683647
2025-03-09 0.308533 0.492521 0.711976 0.983227 1.301266 1.655579 2.073979
2025-03-16 0.191676 0.381489 0.628927 0.953033 1.349205 1.804264 2.354609
2025-03-23 0.130545 0.324550 0.598948 0.975733 1.450945 2.008794 2.694533
2025-03-30 0.082775 0.270313 0.560602 0.978154 1.520167 2.168719 2.977103
2025-04-06 0.044900 0.215642 0.511055 0.957903 1.555096 2.283059 3.202386
2025-04-13 0.030334 0.198935 0.514235 1.006299 1.675264 2.499354 3.547676
2025-04-20 0.019689 0.184745 0.518387 1.054112 1.793421 2.712414 3.888655
2025-04-27 0.012729 0.175374 0.528459 1.109147 1.920312 2.935898 4.242063
2025-05-04 0.010211 0.179349 0.561310 1.197351 2.091334 3.214642 4.662821
2025-05-11 0.005860 0.170731 0.570105 1.249127 2.213208 3.431669 5.008591
2025-05-18 0.001576 0.150184 0.553768 1.261393 2.280695 3.579539 5.269538
2025-05-25 NaN 0.109843 0.493722 1.206812 2.260642 3.622594 5.410938
2025-06-01 NaN 0.073892 0.431339 1.142921 2.224795 3.644256 5.525969
2025-06-08 NaN 0.051950 0.391771 1.110698 2.229229 3.714272 5.697425
2025-06-15 NaN 0.043965 0.386328 1.135169 2.314231 3.889050 5.999816
2025-06-22 NaN 0.033584 0.369391 1.137831 2.366608 4.020391 6.247259
2025-06-29 NaN 0.021798 0.340254 1.115870 2.381274 4.100908 6.429894
2025-07-06 NaN 0.020729 0.351579 1.168303 2.506321 4.328223 6.798604
2025-07-13 NaN 0.019667 0.362531 1.220012 2.630378 4.554385 7.166102
2025-07-20 NaN 0.019519 0.377521 1.279432 2.766139 4.796386 7.554000
2025-07-27 NaN 0.023314 0.411146 1.374454 2.955585 5.110434 8.033807
2025-08-03 NaN 0.022665 0.424037 1.430122 3.086040 5.345754 8.413756